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The first news about the Korean train explosion said: "About 3 000
people were killed or injured after two trains laden with fuel collided
and exploded on Thursday at a North Korean railway station, just hours
after North Korea's Kim Jong-Il passed through on his return from China."
It turns out the death toll was not so great, though it was a major
disaster, and other details were different in later reports.
"Several hundred people were killed and thousands injured as
train wagons carrying dynamite exploded at a North Korean railway
station, according to a death toll reported by Britain's Foreign
Office."
Don Watson sent an email saying, "Yesterday, when the estimated dead was
in the thousands, I expected the eggs to respond as they did on 9/11.
Today, the estimate is much lower, but an effect should be there,
anyway." He was not able to specify the time, but an internet search
revealed it was "at Ryongchon near the Chinese border at around 1pm."
A later article in the New York Times indicated it was around noon.
The formal prediction was set for 12:00 to 16:00 local (03:00 to 07:00
GMT), which probably includes some time, up to an hour,
before the nominal time, and an aftermath period of
three to four hours. Chisquare is 14551.624 on 14400 df, with p = 0.186.
The graph shows a strong deviation beginning at about 12, leveling off
about an hour after the explosion.
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