Dream and Roof Collapse

On Sun, 23 May 2004, Henk Vietor wrote:

This morning at 02:35 local time Apeldoorn, Holland I had a vivid dream about a building collapsing with several dead and wounded including police officers. I did send a report [documenting the dream] early this morning to Hans Gerding.

It so happened that as I just heard that unfortunately a roof at Charles de Gaulle airport in Paris collapsed this morning at about 07:00 hours with several death and wounded including three police officers. Many facts of my dream I can find back in this accident. Could you check your eggs for the times around my dream and the actual accident? I would appreciate your assistance. It would help us all a lot.

I decided to make a formal prediction that would include the dream time and the collapse time -- the latter being a widely publicized event of the sort that might otherwise qualify as a global event. The formal prediction was for the period from 00:00 to 08:00 GMT, which includes 35 minutes before the dream to 3 hours after the roof collapse. The result is 29048 on 28800 df, p = 0.150. The first graph shows this formal analysis period. Following it is an exploration that includes just the time from the dream to the collapse. It is perhaps just a chance correspondence, but the trend during this period is persistent and would be significant at p = 0.036 if this had been a formal prediction.

Dream and Roof Collapse

Dream and Roof Collapse


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