10.10.10 Celebrations

Many sources suggested the day of 10.10.10 as a possible global event. The following letter is an example, expressing the idea and the ideal. First a brief quote from a recent note in the GCP Update Blog:

RDN: I'm also moved by an increasing sense of urgency about the way the world is, and though I have no illusions about being able to change it, I am convinced that the more people know about their (our) interconnection, the more likely we are to apply that to a positive future. I guess it's like prayer -- nothing guaranteed, but no harm done.

I'm part of a project that speaks directly to your "prayer" as stated above. It's time for our interconnection to be made clearly apparent. This autumn, on the evocative date of 10.10.10, the Power of One (my organization, which is hosting the main event on the National Mall on 10.10.10 as well as virtually on a global basis) is aligning with Four Years. Go. (a new meta-organization bringing together over 800 organizations interested in building a more sustainable world), 350.org (Bill McKibben's huge climate change network), and ACORE (an organization with another thousand+ members interested in renewable energy) to attempt to jumpstart a mission to change the course of history. We are attempting to galvanize our collective resources to declare and activate the tipping point that collective consciousness seems to be calling for to do what needs to be done to transform our world into a peaceful, sustainable global society.

... data alone is not generally enough to change many hearts and minds, having measurable impacts and discernable metrics are still a big part of what's necessary for the substantiation process. Even those of us "in the choir" are helped to sustain our efforts by the support that scientific measurement and data provide. Our hearts already know, but our heads need to catch up.

... The urgency you speak of is building in all of us -- and it's time for us to unite in a collective "prayer" that brings love and light into action.

Very best wishes and gratitude, Susan Belchamber

In a later note she gave more detail on the event being organized in Washington:

Our program ... begins at 10am ET at the Lincoln Memorial for a Opening Ceremony, and then at the top of each hour we will be re-reading the Declaration of Interdependence and standing together in a moment of Silence. At 6pm ET, we will be gathering at the Reflecting Pool as dusk falls in a circle of Silence and Light. (At that time of day the yang symbol of the Washington Monument reflects beautifully into the symbolic yin of the Pool).

Because there were many people around the world planning to gather for the day, the GCP event was set for the 24 hours of October 10, 2010. A supplementary analysis (see below) was set to look at the Washington event. The formal dataset begins with a persistent negative deviation, followed by an equally consistent positive trend, resulting in balanced statistics with the final value near expectation. The Chisquare is 86322 on 86400 df, for p = 0.564 and Z = -0.286.

10.10.10 Celebrations

As an exploration to supplement the formal 24-hour event, the period described by Susan was examined, and as it happens, it corresponds to the strong positive trend in the second half of the (UTC) day. The signal to noise ratio is too small to allow reliable interpretation, yet the picture may reflect what so many would like to see -- a positive approach to the future. It will be here sooner than we think.

10.10.10 Celebrations

It is important to keep in mind that we have only a tiny statistical effect, so that it is always hard to distinguish signal from noise. This means that every "success" might be largely driven by chance, and every "null" might include a real signal overwhelmed by noise. In the long run, a real effect can be identified only by patiently accumulating replications of similar analyses.

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